S&P/TSX Composite Index (^GSPTSE) Anomalies

Check historical price trends and seasonality for S&P/TSX Composite Index (^GSPTSE).

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S&P/TSX Composite Index (^GSPTSE) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +10.06%.

Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jun 2 for 60 days) is +1.11%.

5 wins 2 losses with a win rate of 71.43%.

AI Analysis (Past 10 Years YTD)

S&P/TSX Composite Index (^GSPTSE) Anomaly Analysis

1) Overview:

The S&P/TSX Composite Index exhibits a strong upward tendency throughout the year, with a few periods of consolidation. The index generally rises steadily from January, reaching a peak around December. Specifically, the index tends to increase significantly from November, reaching +10.4% by November 25, and remains high, ending the year at +10.0% by December 31. However, there is a notable dip around March 23, with an average decline of -0.8%.

2) Buy-the-dip points:

A potential buying opportunity arises around March 23, as the index tends to experience a pullback of -0.8% at this time. This dip could be a strategic entry point for investors looking to capitalize on the subsequent upward trend.

3) Summary:

Based on the 10-year average seasonality, a potential investment strategy for the S&P/TSX Composite Index could involve buying during the dip around March 23. The index shows a strong tendency to rise throughout the year, particularly towards the end of the year, suggesting that holding investments from late March through December could be advantageous. However, investors should always consider other market factors and conduct thorough research before making any investment decisions.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by AI (Gemini) based on historical statistical trends. It does not guarantee future performance. Investment decisions are your own responsibility.
YearStart DateStart PriceEnd DateEnd PriceReturnRate (%)
2025 2025-06-02 26,389.0000 2025-07-31 27,259.8008 870.8008 3.30
2023 2023-06-02 20,024.5996 2023-07-31 20,626.5996 602.0000 3.01
2022 2022-06-02 21,031.8008 2022-07-31 19,692.9004 -1,338.9004 -6.37
2021 2021-06-02 19,971.1992 2021-07-31 20,287.8008 316.6016 1.59
2020 2020-06-02 15,394.4004 2020-07-31 16,169.2002 774.7998 5.03
2017 2017-06-02 15,442.7998 2017-07-31 15,143.9004 -298.8994 -1.94
2016 2016-06-02 14,137.0000 2016-07-31 14,582.7002 445.7002 3.15
Avg 18,912.9714 19,108.9861 196.01 1.11
365 Days (Prev Close Change) Average (Past 10 Years) [Horz=Month / Vert=Day]
Negative Zero/Flat Positive ※ Change from prev day close. Excl Feb 29.
Mode:
Day \ Month Jan Total +1.71% Feb Total -0.40% Mar Total +0.03% Apr Total +1.65% May Total +0.76% Jun Total +0.16% Jul Total +2.32% Aug Total +0.59% Sep Total -0.14% Oct Total +0.02% Nov Total +3.71% Dec Total -0.35%
1 Avg +0.08% 0.00% +0.17% +0.53% -0.10% -0.18% +0.26% 0.00% -0.32% +0.20% +0.01% +0.44% -0.03%
2 Avg +0.06% +0.13% -0.24% +0.38% +0.15% -0.08% +0.55% +0.19% -0.54% +0.24% -0.27% +0.05% +0.10%
3 Avg +0.02% +0.07% 0.00% -0.04% -0.39% +0.07% -0.02% +0.22% -0.01% -0.25% +0.30% +0.28% +0.01%
4 Avg +0.09% +0.35% +0.45% +0.05% -0.45% +0.07% +0.01% +0.27% +0.23% -0.12% +0.19% +0.01% -0.03%
5 Avg +0.12% -0.01% +0.03% +0.26% +0.13% +0.12% +0.30% -0.27% +0.41% -0.05% +0.24% +0.48% -0.12%
6 Avg +0.00% +0.04% +0.04% -0.33% +0.47% +0.17% +0.26% -0.12% +0.04% -0.33% -0.20% +0.11% -0.12%
7 Avg +0.01% -0.04% -0.06% +0.05% -0.17% +0.15% -0.07% +0.02% -0.13% -0.01% -0.10% +0.27% +0.22%
8 Avg +0.05% +0.17% -0.23% -0.10% +0.25% +0.22% +0.01% -0.08% +0.34% -0.07% +0.02% +0.07% +0.06%
9 Avg -0.04% +0.09% -0.03% -0.87% +0.73% -0.37% -0.29% +0.15% +0.04% +0.26% 0.00% +0.01% -0.15%
10 Avg +0.03% -0.05% +0.13% +0.08% -0.23% +0.03% -0.30% +0.39% +0.09% -0.12% -0.13% +0.49% -0.01%
11 Avg -0.01% +0.05% -0.14% -0.30% +0.26% -0.05% -0.36% -0.02% +0.04% +0.35% -0.17% +0.13% +0.04%
12 Avg +0.02% +0.22% +0.50% -1.09% 0.00% -0.24% +0.16% +0.21% +0.12% +0.30% 0.00% +0.10% -0.07%
13 Avg +0.03% -0.17% -0.15% +0.91% +0.04% -0.12% -0.43% +0.04% +0.12% -0.27% +0.32% -0.07% +0.16%
14 Avg +0.03% +0.26% +0.13% -0.17% +0.24% +0.27% -0.24% +0.06% -0.11% +0.26% +0.04% +0.08% -0.44%
15 Avg +0.08% 0.00% +0.42% -0.01% -0.12% +0.33% +0.16% +0.12% -0.20% +0.20% +0.16% +0.08% -0.12%
16 Avg -0.06% +0.01% +0.10% -0.71% -0.05% +0.08% -0.22% -0.02% +0.11% -0.19% +0.15% +0.15% -0.13%
17 Avg +0.12% +0.19% +0.03% +0.54% +0.56% +0.14% -0.13% +0.07% -0.04% 0.00% +0.12% +0.05% -0.12%
18 Avg -0.08% -0.21% -0.01% -0.88% +0.23% -0.22% +0.11% +0.11% -0.05% +0.01% +0.03% +0.05% -0.12%
19 Avg +0.10% +0.13% +0.06% +0.43% +0.05% +0.30% -0.08% +0.19% -0.07% +0.25% -0.04% 0.00% -0.05%
20 Avg +0.01% +0.05% 0.00% -0.14% 0.00% +0.25% +0.18% +0.12% +0.01% -0.12% +0.01% -0.14% -0.10%
21 Avg 0.00% -0.02% -0.26% +0.19% -0.49% -0.15% 0.00% +0.12% +0.07% -0.22% +0.01% +0.46% +0.26%
22 Avg +0.02% +0.21% -0.03% -0.40% +0.10% -0.10% -0.03% +0.10% +0.01% +0.20% 0.00% +0.09% +0.13%
23 Avg -0.09% +0.12% -0.09% -0.85% +0.24% -0.25% -0.02% -0.03% +0.20% -0.57% -0.12% +0.03% +0.26%
24 Avg +0.11% +0.04% -0.22% +1.32% +0.12% 0.00% +0.04% -0.12% 0.00% -0.02% -0.16% +0.34% -0.04%
25 Avg +0.02% -0.11% -0.14% +0.48% -0.22% +0.14% -0.23% 0.00% +0.05% +0.08% +0.04% +0.20% 0.00%
26 Avg +0.02% +0.15% -0.07% +0.25% -0.06% +0.37% +0.01% +0.08% +0.05% -0.21% -0.18% -0.11% 0.00%
27 Avg +0.00% -0.35% -0.32% -0.39% +0.24% +0.40% +0.02% +0.14% +0.14% -0.06% -0.14% -0.01% +0.34%
28 Avg +0.08% +0.50% -0.45% -0.06% +0.52% -0.08% +0.13% +0.10% +0.02% +0.28% -0.05% +0.11% -0.08%
29 Avg +0.08% +0.03% - +0.29% +0.16% -0.37% +0.23% +0.30% +0.34% -0.07% -0.21% +0.04% +0.13%
30 Avg -0.05% -0.12% - +0.32% -0.57% +0.04% +0.15% -0.10% -0.06% -0.10% +0.19% -0.08% -0.28%
31 Avg -0.03% -0.01% - +0.29% - -0.20% - +0.09% -0.31% - -0.04% - -0.05%

Past 10 Years 1-Month [Jun 2 - Jul 1] Return Ranking

Rank Stock Avg Return (%) Wins Losses